Material world: forecasting household appliance ownership in a growing global economy

TitleMaterial world: forecasting household appliance ownership in a growing global economy
Publication TypeConference Paper
Year of Publication2009
AuthorsLetschert, Virginie E, Michael A McNeil
Conference NameECEEE 2009 SUMMER STUDY
PublisherEuropean Council for an Energy Efficient Economy
KeywordsAppliance ownership, developing countries, econo­metric model, end uses, households, residential
Abstract

This paper presents a methodology for modeling residential appliance uptake as a function of macroeconomic variables, and presents forecasts of appliance diffusion through 2030 for several scenarios of economic (GDP) growth. The approach followed allows the modeler to construct a bottom-­up analysis based at the end use and the household level. It captures the appliance uptake and the saturation effect which will affect the energy demand growth in the residen­tial sector. With this approach, the modeler can also account for stock changes in technology and efficiency as a function of time.

URLhttps://www.eceee.org/static/media/uploads/site-2/library/conference_proceedings/eceee_Summer_Studies/2009/Panel_8/8.364/paper.pdf
Refereed DesignationUnknown